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Predictions and promises monitor

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Authors
444
Predictions
3064
Verified
1091
Came true
64%
Complex
56%
Confident
48%
Predictions Author Ranking
All Expected Expected soon New results

Abbas Gallyamov

Yes, I think the meeting will take place. There have already been too many confirmations, including official ones. In response to the question: "A meeting between Putin and Trump is expected. Do you think the meeting will happen?"
Expected
#Putin #Trump #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think the situation will unfold as follows. Today, I expect that even though the deadline has passed, Trump will most likely say something like, "Well, we did agree with the Russian side to arrange a meeting, and in doing so, we're signaling the end of the war, so why impose sanctions now?" That is what I expect will most likely happen.
Expected
#Trump #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Arti Green

My prediction is that by the end of the year, the kill zone will become insurmountable, and it won't matter how much infantry we have there. There will simply be enough to hold the front. The infantry won't be holding it; unmanned systems will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Putin's entire demeanor shows he's not going to change his approach. Will Trump actually follow through on his threats or not? I remain in the camp of strong skeptics, believing it's most likely no. This will be limited to public relations noise. Referring to Trump's so-called ultimatum to Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I really think Whitkoff's visit will be pointless and accomplish nothing; they won't agree on anything. Steve Whitkoff's visit to Russia in early August.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And regarding the fact that many of the Z-supporters have started to rejoice "Finally, we're hitting the bridges, now we need to hit the bridges over the Dnieper River, for example, near the city of Zaporizhzhia". I believe this won't happen because there's very little point to it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

He could become a legal, legitimate president of the Russian Federation because he served one term already and this would be his second. I think that's what Medvedev is aiming for. Remember this date, August 3, 2025, when Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev once again became the heir to the Russian throne after the deployment of nuclear submarines.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Do not doubt it for a second. This is a prediction from Mikhail Svetov: the same methods of influence that France is currently testing on Pavel Durov will be tried on Elon Musk after some time.
Expected
#France #Censorship
ru → en

Win/Win

Trump will not impose sanctions on Russia this Friday, as Ukraine has agreed to continue negotiations. (Previously, Vladimir Putin hinted that Ukraine was being dissuaded from talks). The State Department has since made new statements, saying the US is interested in a "lasting, durable peace" and continued negotiations. This means the demand for an unconditional ceasefire has been dropped. Official confirmations are expected soon.
Expected
#Trump #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I've become convinced that a probable year for an invasion of Taiwan used to be considered 2027. But now, I think it will be 2029 at the earliest. This is because it shouldn't happen while Trump is in office, so he can say, "This war wouldn't have happened on my watch."
Expected
#Taiwan #China #Trump
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

What else can he do to stop the advance of Russian troops in Ukraine? I'm afraid he doesn't have any special ideas about that. I think that after the ultimatum expires, we'll find out that the "red line" has moved somewhere further away again. That's my prediction. Maybe I'm wrong.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Tariffs on countries that consume Russian oil. India will, of course, be the first to suffer. I don't think these tariffs will be extended to China; that's my prediction. The Americans aren't going to quarrel with the Chinese over this right now.
Expected
#USA #India #China #Trump #Economy #Oil #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly. Due to Trump's ultimatum.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Abroad, gasoline is getting cheaper, so it's becoming harder to get the damper (subsidy), and then you need to make a profit somewhere. Profit can only be made on the domestic market, so we expect the price of 95-octane to reach 70 rubles by autumn. In Russia, the price of 95-octane gasoline will be 70 rubles in the autumn.
Expected
#Gasoline #Russia #Economy #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

A meeting between Trump and Putin in Beijing is, in my opinion, impossible; there's no substance to it. In my view, it won't happen. Answer to the question: "Is a meeting between Trump and Putin possible?"
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #China
ru → en

Win/Win

The most important thing about Trump's ultimatum isn't the ultimatum itself, but his resentment. Putin, he says, didn't even call me after my last ultimatum. Overall, the sanctions aren't that great; to implement them, you'd have to fight not only Russia but the entire world except the West. Most likely, Trump won't introduce new duties, but will simply exit the game. He'll say, "I threatened and threatened, but they're not scared. I don't want to be friends with the Russians." He'll become friends with Zelenskyy instead.
Expected
#USA #Trump #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

My very cautious prediction is that the fight against VPNs in Europe, not in the next one to two years but over a 10-year span, will also become widespread. The same situation currently unfolding in Russia, where people have massively switched to VPNs, will repeat itself in Europe.
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Europe
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

SpaceX. No Starship will fly anywhere. They definitely won't be able to refuel with cryogenic propellant in space. It's all a bubble, everything Musk depicts about Starships.
Expected
#Science and technology #Space #USA
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Bet! I don't think you'll face criminal charges by New Year's. Dmitry Treshchanin won't have a criminal case opened against him before New Year's.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Yigal Levin

It's not hard to guess that with such rapid and all-encompassing AI development, an era of large-scale, mass wars will also arrive.
Expected
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don't think what's happening in Istanbul can be considered a step towards peace in any way. As for a high-level meeting, it won't happen in the format proposed by Ukraine. Russia won't agree to Ukraine's proposal for a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin
ru → en

Ekaterina Margolis

De Luca failed on both fronts, facing sharp criticism within Italy. He is unlikely to be elected for a third term as governor of Campania. Campania is a region in Italy.
Expected
#Italy #Elections
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

This is a take that I plan to revisit in four years to post it in a thread about how Mikhail Svetov warned you about this. A beneficial political strategy for the opposing Democratic presidential candidate in the 2028 election will be a promise to publish the names of the people on the Epstein list, and an attack on the Trump administration for refusing to do so. Because that could have cast a shadow over Donald Trump himself, because they were covering for certain people who are on those lists. I can easily picture this. Moreover, I'm even willing to bet some money on it, that it will be part of the discussion in 2028 and one of the lines of attack that the left will use against Trump's supporters. Definitely.
Expected
#USA #2028 United States presidential election
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

When the Democrats published a dossier on the wiretapping that Nixon placed in his political opponent's headquarters, it led to Nixon's impeachment and a shake-up of the American political system. The publication of this dossier will most likely not lead to anything at all. Because that is Donald Trump's signature style. He is speaking about a U.S. National Intelligence report that there is evidence the Democratic Party deliberately created a hoax about Russia's interference in the 2016 U.S. election.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Well done, you finally did something decisive without waiting for the United States. They will definitely join the sanctions against Russian oil exports, I'm sure—whether it's in September, October, or November, it doesn't matter, but they will join.
Expected
#USA #Russia #European Union #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

A weakened Russia suits China as a forced, subordinate partner. Therefore, I don't think any war could happen between Russia and China in the near future. I think everything suits China today.
Expected
#Russia #China
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

I can predict that the state of Syria will most likely no longer exist. It will be divided, to some extent, between Turkey and, perhaps, chunks of Syria, the Alawites, and the territory that Israel controls.
Expected
#Syria #Turkey #Israel
ru → en

Sergey Boyko

I still think that Telegram will follow in WhatsApp's footsteps, but that's just speculation. WhatsApp will definitely be blocked, and Telegram most likely will as well. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia #Censorship #Internet
ru → en

Sergey Boyko

It certainly looks like it, that's exactly what's happening. This is part of the same pattern as the mobile internet shutdowns. I'll just remind you that Russia set a record for mobile shutdowns and the filtering of all previous services. I'd say this is precisely about building that very "Cheburnet," and as a resident of Russia, I'd slowly prepare for whitelists. I'm sure that if Putin maintains his health and power for some prolonged period of time—say, a year or two or three—we'll ultimately arrive at whitelists. That's when there's a list of what's allowed and everything else is forbidden. In response to the hosts' question: "Doesn't this look like preparation for a sovereign network - the Cheburnet?" (in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I'm completely confident that at some point, Putin will try to strike the Baltic states. I believe he has many plans drawn up regarding Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. Of course, he is unlikely to go for Finland, given his past bad experience and the fact that the Finns are more prepared to defend their country.
Expected
#Russia #Latvia #Lithuania #Estonia #Finland #Putin
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I expect a decrease to 18%. Answer to the question: "What do you expect from July 25th, what will the Central Bank do?" (with the key rate in Russia)
Completely came true
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely confident, and you will see, it won't be long to wait. Three things will become completely unacceptable in the world after this war. Prisons will disappear from the world as the main instrument of the enslavement of the people. Nationalists will disappear from the world, because any nationalism, at its extreme, leads to Nazism. And borders will disappear from the world. After the war in Ukraine.
Expected
ru → en

Alfred Koch

They won't seize it. It will agree to some kind of slow integration on its own, like Hong Kong. In response to the comment: "If Taiwan is captured..."
Expected
#Taiwan #China
ru → en

Alfred Koch

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

The ice is thin, but the Central Bank will lower the rate anyway—it seems they've decided there's no point in protecting Russians from inflation.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

I'm confident the next step will be a ban on artificial intelligence. A ban on everything that, according to Putin, responds to your queries incorrectly.
Expected
#Russia #Censorship
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many researchers suggest that Russia has a plan to move further towards the village of Velykyi Burluk... But by the end of summer, no, that's too far, it's beyond Russia's capabilities right now.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

North Korea's air force is incredibly weak, it's practically nonexistent. In the event of a war with South Korea, their air force would be destroyed within the first few hours.
Expected
#North Korea #South Korea
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

To be fair, regarding Russia's much-vaunted 1,000 strikes per day—if they are achieved, and they most likely will be... Russia will be able to launch 1,000 drones at Ukraine simultaneously.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

I think Trump will announce sanctions tomorrow, but they won't be the kind Lindsey Graham is proposing. I believe Graham's suggested sanctions – 500% tariffs against Russia's trade partners – are too extreme; I don't think that will happen. I don't believe Trump will go that far. I think the sanctions will be different, much less painful, but still a significant blow to Russia.
Expected
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Alex Parker Returns

Former Trump aide Steve Bannon said that if Trump refuses to publish the Epstein list, he will lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement. It's not just about the pedophile network and all that, but also about who rules us, right? Former Trump aide Steve Bannon said that if Trump refuses to publish the Epstein list, he will lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement. If we lose 10% of the MAGA movement right now, we will lose 40 seats in the 2026 congressional midterm elections, and then we will lose the presidency. Something tells me the list will not be published anyway.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Sergei Markov

The German Chancellor stated that Russia must pay 500 billion euros to Ukraine. And then Russia can ask for the 200 billion euros frozen in the EU to be returned to them. Hmm. By the way, in that case, they wouldn't give back the 200 billion euros for anything. They'd find something to fault.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #Germany #European Union #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I think it will continue. My terrible prediction—God forbid it comes true, I wish death on no one. But unfortunately, there's reason to believe it will, because there's a huge process of capital outflow from Russia. Responding to the comment: 'People who knew too much are unexpectedly passing away. It's not just about the minister. There's Transneft, and even before that, in 2022, there was a whole series of such incidents' (Referring to a series of strange deaths among Russian officials and oil executives)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Petrov

Chinese won't displace English... Unless, of course, the Chinese switch to Latin script, which they won't.
Expected
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

And Zelensky also cares about security. He understands that stopping the war means immediate elections, immediate removal of this group from power, and the start of investigations into this group's activities after the elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

First, Putin says, recognize these territories and give me guarantees, and then I'll be ready to stop the hot phase of the war. He understands that if the war stops now along this line, it will lead to endless negotiations that will last decades and certainly won't result in the recognition of occupied territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

If the war doesn't stop, it will lead to the removal of democratic power in Ukraine and catastrophically increase the chances of Putin's supporters coming to power.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Trump promised to announce a surprise for Russia on Monday, July 14th. Everyone's guessing what it could be. My opinion is that Trump will issue a soft ultimatum: If Russia doesn't make concessions, a harsh sanctions law will be passed: a 500% trade tariff for countries that trade with Russia and don't pay "tribute" to Ukraine. And a partial lifting of sanctions if Russia makes concessions. But of course, no one can accurately predict Trump. Not even he himself.
Expected
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I don't think so. Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia is facing another Chechen war?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think no, they likely won't attack. The US will certainly get involved. Answer to the question: "Do you think China will attack Taiwan?"
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I don't think they'll be thrown into active combat on Ukrainian territory. Instead, they'll likely be stationed somewhere along the borders to relieve the Russian army, so they can cover the Belgorod, Bryansk, and partially Kursk regions from potential invasions by Ukrainian forces. Answer to the comment: "Heard the news about 30,000 North Koreans being sent to the front?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en